Thursday, March 02, 2006

Sectarian Woes

Sullivan continues to churn out the most even-handed posts about the situation in Iraq right now. The fact that he's relying on the bravest Sunni dentist ever, Healing Iraq's Zeyad, also helps. But there's this interesting bit of polling he's dredged up in the latest Brookings polls of Iraq:

Q: Do you think Iraq today is heading in the right direction?

Iraqis who answered "yes": Overall = 64%; Kurds = 76%; Shiia = 84%; Sunni = 6%

Q: Thinking about any hardships you might have suffered since the U.S.-Britain invasion, do you personally think that ousting Saddam Hussein was worth it?

Iraqis who answered "yes": Overall = 77%; Kurds = 91%; Shiia = 98%; Sunni = 13%

This really shows such an absolute disparity. We're constantly getting bombarded with poll data showing Iraqis are optimistic, but the picture is obviously more complex. Kurds and Shia are SUPEROPTIMISTIC, whereas Sunnis are so pessimistic they drag it down to the believable levels. This is such a profound difference in worldviews and visions of Iraq's future and past it's astounding. The Sunnis are so beaten down about the situation when the Shiias and Kurds are seeing a brave new world. This kind of thing is not going to be solved by political negotiations. It's going to take decades of reconciliation.